POLLING opened Tuesday in Zambia's
tightly contested vote to elect a president after a ruling party power
struggle following the death of Michael Sata in office last year.
The two top contenders are Defence
Minister Edgar Lungu, 58, representing the ruling Patriotic Front (PF),
and opposition candidate Hakainde Hichilema, 52, of the United Party
for National Development (UPND).
At stake are the remaining year
and a half of Sata's five-year term in Africa's second biggest copper
producer, where new taxes on the metal have become a surprising election
issue.
Lungu's party introduced the tax in January, while Hichilema has promised to scrap it, pledging a business-friendly Zambia.
The rivals -- Lungu the lawyer and
Hichilema the businessman, affectionately know as HH -- drew huge
crowds at last-minute rallies.
But in the absence of opinion polls analysts hedged their bets.
"It's a two-horse race," said
Oliver Saasa, CEO of Premier Consult, a business and economic
consultancy firm. "It's quite clear this is a very closely run race."
Election-weary Zambians, who voted
in scheduled elections that brought Sata to power three years ago and
are also due to cast ballots next year, formed long queues despite early
morning cold weather.
In Lusaka's Kanyama working class
suburb, excited voters applauded and ululated when a presiding officer
declared the crowded polling station open.
"My vote is going to make a
difference, we are going to remove this ...(PF) family," said 55-year
old vegetable vendor Matron Siyasiya. "They can claim all the good work,
but God's favour is on my candidate, and that is HH."
But Grace Nyirongo, who runs a
food take-away business said she was satisfied with the government and
echoed the ruling PF's campaign slogan of continuity.
"We want the government to continue with the projects started by Sata. Frankly there's no need to start afresh," said Nyirongo.
Analyst Neo Simutanyi of
think-tank Centre for Policy Dialogue said: "We can safely conclude that
the opposition will win this election, but I don't think the margin
will be very wide."
Hichilema's camp is seen to have
received a boost from the infighting within another major opposition
party, the Movement for Multiparty Democracy (MMD), whose candidate
Nevers Mumba is given little chance.
Lungu's Patriotic Front went into
the vote badly fractured by a bitter power struggle after Sata's death
in October, just three years into his five-year term.
Two opposing camps -- one led by Lungu and another by interim president Guy Scott -- nominated rival presidential candidates.
After many weeks of mud-slinging, Lungu emerged as the sole candidate -- but of a weakened party.
Scott, Africa's first white leader in 20 years, cannot stand for the presidency himself as his parents were not born in Zambia.
With ideological differences
between Zambia's political parties difficult to pin down, voting
patterns are often determined by personalities and ethnicity rather than
issues.
Despite growth-oriented policies
and a stable economy over the past few years, at least 60 percent of
Zambia's population of about 15 million lives below the poverty line,
according to World Bank figures.
About 5.2 million people are eligible to cast ballots.
Polling opened at 6:00 am (0400 GMT) and is due to close 12 hours later across 6,000 polling stations.
Whoever is elected will serve out the remaining 19 months of Sata's term.
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